Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.038140 0.044444 0.050956 0.058151 0.065844 0.073791 0.082592
2025-11-09 0.027853 0.036866 0.046743 0.058200 0.070974 0.084646 0.100263
2025-11-16 0.019924 0.030045 0.041786 0.056004 0.072405 0.090441 0.111510
2025-11-23 0.014346 0.024859 0.037774 0.054042 0.073366 0.095091 0.120918
2025-11-30 0.011364 0.022331 0.036480 0.054864 0.077184 0.102678 0.133357
2025-12-07 0.009228 0.020533 0.035800 0.056182 0.081384 0.110539 0.145964
2025-12-14 0.007833 0.019530 0.035971 0.058411 0.086560 0.119446 0.159698
2025-12-21 0.006241 0.017925 0.035135 0.059211 0.089880 0.126081 0.170724
2025-12-28 0.005974 0.018421 0.037175 0.063707 0.097737 0.138087 0.188008
2026-01-04 0.004166 0.015877 0.034678 0.062083 0.097862 0.140772 0.194291
2026-01-11 0.003288 0.014829 0.034238 0.063112 0.101249 0.147323 0.205087
2026-01-18 0.002461 0.013643 0.033468 0.063608 0.103897 0.152935 0.214733
2026-01-25 0.001799 0.012672 0.033049 0.064699 0.107495 0.159951 0.226372
2026-02-01 0.001112 0.011290 0.031849 0.064640 0.109595 0.165154 0.235900
2026-02-08 0.000429 0.009194 0.029182 0.062303 0.108581 0.166413 0.240601
2026-02-15 0.000083 0.007432 0.026814 0.060225 0.107786 0.167853 0.245444
2026-02-22 0.000011 0.006797 0.026451 0.061095 0.110909 0.174177 0.256203
2026-03-01 NaN 0.006377 0.026451 0.062489 0.114726 0.181366 0.268009
2026-03-08 NaN 0.006273 0.027077 0.064843 0.119852 0.190213 0.281848
2026-03-15 NaN 0.005750 0.026759 0.065688 0.122886 0.196390 0.292405
2026-03-22 NaN 0.006343 0.028891 0.070430 0.131314 0.209453 0.311437
2026-03-29 NaN 0.005170 0.027007 0.068719 0.130771 0.211044 0.316339
2026-04-05 NaN 0.004803 0.026884 0.069803 0.134096 0.217569 0.327313